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CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) stock

Consumer·Retail-Eating Places·Market cap $40.0B
Auto-Brief · synthesised from 5 layers
CMG · us_stock
NEUTRAL
Top reasons
  1. 1Solid fundamental performance with 7.3% YoY revenue growth, an 11.4% net margin, and $1.5B in free cash flow.
  2. 2Upcoming Q3 2026 earnings release scheduled for October 28, 2026 serves as the next key corporate catalyst.
  3. 3Limited recent news and macro catalysts keep overall sentiment and positioning anchored in a neutral range.
Generated 2026-10-13 20:22 UTC5 layers
Meaterm briefs are analytical research. Not investment advice. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any asset.

Factor grades

As of 2026-10-12
Meaterm Score
D+
45th percentile
Valuation
F
17th percentile
Growth
C
50th percentile
Profitability
B+
79th percentile
Momentum
D+
34th percentile

Percentile grades within the stock’s sector, computed nightly from SEC filings. Statistical ranking, not investment advice.

Fair value estimate

Current price
$30.49
Fair value estimate
$18.81
Verdict
OVERVALUED
estimate 38.3% below price

Median of 4 peer-multiple estimates. Not investment advice.

Research CMG with the full toolkit
Charts, screeners, factor rankings, filings and positioning data in one browser-based terminal. Free tier, no card required.
Open CMG in the Meaterm terminal →
MacroNEUTRALNo feed
0 items
  • No macro events in the recency window.
No macro events in the recency window.
CatalystsNEUTRALLive
1 item
  • earnings: CMG Q3 2026 earnings scheduled (scheduled 2026-10-28)
  1. earningsScheduled 2026-10-28
    CMG Q3 2026 earnings scheduled
    Consensus EPS 0.29.
    NEUTRAL
FundamentalsNEUTRALLive
1 item
  • Revenue growth 7.3% YoY, net margin 11.4%.
  • Forward P/E —, FCF $1.5B.
Revenue growth (YoY)
7.3%
>10% strong
Net margin
11.4%
>15% healthy
Debt / Equity
—
Interest coverage
—
Beta
—
Forward P/E
—
Free cash flow
$1.5B
TTM
Earnings beat rate
—
As of 2026-06-30 · Issuer filings + market data
PositioningNEUTRALNo feed
0 items
  • Peers: 149 of 234 recently-briefed us stock names lean bullish.
As of 2026-10-13 · Meaterm
NewsNEUTRALNo feed
0 items
  • No news in the recency window.
  • Signal steady (neutral) vs the last brief.
  • 2 ongoing stories tracked in the knowledge base.
No news in the recency window.

Key fundamentals

Revenue (TTM)
$12.4B
Net income (TTM)
$1.4B
Diluted EPS (TTM)
$1.09
Gross margin
—
Operating margin
14.7%
Net margin
11.4%

Trailing-twelve-month figures computed by Meaterm from SEC filings, refreshed nightly.

Related Retail-Eating Places stocks

MCDMCDONALDS CORPYUMYUM BRANDS INCDRIDARDEN RESTAURANTS INCYUMCYum China Holdings, Inc.ARMKAramark

Frequently asked questions

What are the CMG factor grades?

Meaterm scores CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) on four factors — valuation, growth, profitability and momentum — plus an overall Meaterm Score. Each grade is a percentile ranking against the stock's sector, computed nightly from SEC-filed financial data. Grades are statistical rankings, not investment advice or a recommendation to trade.

How is the fair value estimate for CMG calculated?

The estimate is the median of several peer-multiple implied values — peer P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S and P/B applied to the company's own fundamentals — plus a sell-side consensus target when one is available. Peers come from the same industry, matched by size. When the company’s own size is not on record, or the comparable companies are too few, more than ten times larger or smaller, or disagree too much with each other or with the market price, no estimate is published and the page says why. It is a statistical reference point, not a price target and not investment advice.

Where does the data on this page come from?

Fundamentals and factor grades are computed by Meaterm from SEC filings and refreshed nightly. Positioning context comes from public CFTC and FINRA releases, and macro series from FRED. Every signal, grade and estimate shown is Meaterm’s own computation.

Is CMG a good stock to invest in?

Meaterm does not answer that question. This page shows how CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) ranks statistically against sector peers on valuation, growth, profitability and momentum and, where its peer group supports one, where its price sits relative to a peer-multiple estimate. Use it as research context alongside your own analysis — nothing on this page is investment advice.

How often is this page updated?

Factor grades, fundamentals and the company profile refresh nightly after each trading day. The brief layers — macro, catalysts, positioning and news — are composed when the page loads, and the fair value estimate is recomputed with recent quotes during the day.